For some, Thanksgiving is just another day; for others, it’s an excuse to get together with family, scarf down a turkey (maybe some mac and cheese), and enjoy each other’s company. But for the 133 million people who tuned in last year, Thanksgiving means football. The classics—the Detroit Lions (37-45-2 on the holiday) and the Dallas Cowboys (33-21-1)—host their traditional Thanksgiving Day games as usual, and this year, the Packers (15-20-2) will host the Dolphins (5-2 on turkey day).

No big schpiel here, just going to get into the numbers and why you NEED to be trusting a reliable source, rather than NFL.com on your start/sit advice at the most critical point in the season:

Week 12 Accuracy:

  • BetLegg: 69.0%
  • NFL.com: 48.1%

Season Accuracy Total:

  • BetLegg: 68.9%
  • NFL.com: 53.8%

Weekly Accuracy Difference for BetLegg vs NFL.com (Last 5 weeks):

Week 8: +6.9%
Week 9: +18.0%
Week 10: +17.7%
Week 11: +18.5%
Week 12: +20.9%


Bears @ Lions (12:30pm ET , DET -9.5, T:47.5)

Start ‘Em: WR D.J. Moore/Keenan Allen, Lions’ RB’s, WR Jameson Williams

Sit ‘Em: QB Caleb Williams, RB D’Andre Swift, WR Rome Odunze

Game Prediction: Lions 26, Bears 20


Giants @ Cowboys (4:30pm ET, DAL -3.5, T:37.5)

Start ‘Em: RB Tyrone Tracy Jr., WR Malik Nabers, RB Rico Dowdle, WR CeeDee Lamb

Sit ‘Em: RB Devin Singletary, QB Cooper Rush, WR Jalen Tolbert

Game Prediction: Cowboys 20, Giants 17


Dolphins @ Packers (8:20pm ET, GB -3.5, T:47.5)

Start ‘Em: Dolphins’ RB’s, WR Tyreek Hill, TE Jonnu Smith, RB Josh Jacobs, WR Jayden Reed

Sit ‘Em: QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Dontayvion Wicks, TE Tucker Kraft

Game Prediction: Packers 27, Dolphins 23


Raiders @ Chiefs (3pm ET (Friday), KC -13.0, T:42.5)

Start ‘Em: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Isaiah Pacheco, WR DeAndre Hopkins, Kansas City D/ST

Sit ‘Em: Raiders’ RB’s

Game Prediction: Chiefs 31, Raiders 13


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